Italy vs Germany prediction 20.03.2025 | Nations League
Italy
Kick off:
Date:
Germany
1
2.75
X
3.37
2
2.82
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Nations League (A), Quarter-Finals, 1st Leg
- Date: Thursday, 20th March, 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)
On Thursday evening, two European giants, Italy and Germany, will face off in the 1st leg of the UEFA Nations League A Quarter-Finals at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) in Milan.
Italy had a terrible EURO 2024 as they suffered elimination in the 1/8 Fianbls against Switzerland but were generally really bad through the competition. However, "Gli Azzurri" bounced back with good results in the UEFA Nations League as they easily secured the Quarter-Finals with 13 points in six rounds. But, against Germany, Italy are a big underdog, considering the bookies offer odds around 2.5 odds to secure the next stage of the competition.
Germany are one of the best NTs in the World, but they have been without a major trophy since the 2013/14 season when they won the World Cup in Brazil. They played well in the previous Euro and looked like one of the leading candidates for the title, but they were eliminated in the Quarter-Finals in a close match against Spain. In the UEFA Nations League, Germany continued with good results and easily secured the next stage of the competition, winning 14 points in Group 3 with Netherlands, Hungary, and Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Italy vs Germany pick: Both teams to score
Italy have been fantastic for this bet, as both teams scored in five out of the six games (83%) in the UEFA Nations League Group phase. At home, they are a team that rarely fails to score goals. If we look further back, "Gli Azzurri" scored in 14 out of the last 15 home games and had a lot of games against outstanding teams like Germany, England, France, and Belgium.
Germany were fantastic offensively in the group stage of the competition, scoring 18 goals in six games - three per game! We strongly believe they are capable of scoring against any team in the World, even away from home. A good thing about this bet is the fact that they haven't had a clean sheet in all three UEFA Nations League road games versus Hungary, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and the Netherlands.
Additionally, seven out of the last eight h2h games finished with both teams scoring - 87.5%. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, we firmly believe we will see another exciting match with both teams scoring.
Italy vs Germany Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Germany
5 : 2
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
1 : 1
Germany
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
0 : 0
Germany
Friendly International
-
Germany
1 : 1
Italy
European Championship
-
Germany
4 : 1
Italy
Friendly International
-
Italy
1 : 1
Germany
Friendly International
Italy team news
On 14th March, coach Spalletti confirmed the squad for Germany. Federico Dimarco, Giorgio Scalvini, Matteo Darmian, and Gianluca Scamacca aren't called due to injuries. Probably the biggest problem for Spalleti will be Dimarco's absence. Instead of Dimarco, we could see Destiny Udogie on the left side as a replacement.
Last matches of Italy
-
Italy
1 : 3
France
UEFA Nations League
-
Belgium
0 : 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
4 : 1
Israel
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
2 : 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
-
Israel
1 : 2
Italy
UEFA Nations League
Italy lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
-
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
-
21
Alessandro Bastoni
Midfielders
-
20
Andrea Cambiaso
-
18
Nicolo Barella
-
8
Sandro Tonali
-
16
Davide Fratesi
-
19
Destiny Udogie
Forwards
-
9
Mateo Retegui
-
11
Moise Kean
Germany team news
Florian Wirtz received his second yellow card in the previous game against Hungary and will be unavailable. However, according to German media reports, the 21-year-old star is injured and isn't able to play anyway.
Marc-André ter Stegen, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Felix Nmecha, Benjamin Henrichs, Niclas Füllkrug, and Kai Havertz aren't called for the NT due to injuries.
Last matches of Germany
-
Hungary
1 : 1
Germany
UEFA Nations League
-
Germany
7 : 0
Bosnia and Herzegovina
UEFA Nations League
-
Germany
1 : 0
Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
-
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1 : 2
Germany
UEFA Nations League
-
Netherlands
2 : 2
Germany
UEFA Nations League
Germany lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Alexander Nubel
Defenders
-
6
Joshua Kimmich
-
15
Nico Schlotterbeck
-
2
Antonio Rudiger
-
18
Maximilian Mittelst?dt
Midfielders
-
8
Robert Andrich
-
19
Angelo Stiller
-
5
Pascal Gross
Forwards
-
10
Jamal Musiala
-
11
Tim Kleindienst
-
19
Leroy Sané
4 Reasons why we should see both teams scoring
- Both teams scored in five out of five UEFA Nations League games in the group phase
- Italy scored at least a goal in 14 out of 15 home games
- Germany scored 18 goals in six UEFA Nations League group phase games
- Both teams scored in seven out of the last eight h2h games - 87.5%
Main prediction Italy - Germany
Both Teams to Score
Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.
Best Odds:
Mystake
1.81
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